2016 ended up as another strong year for home sales in the St Louis area. We were predicted by the National Association of Realtors to be one of the hotter selling markets in the country, and we were not disappointed!
Price appreciation, which is always difficult to determine exactly, went up around 4% for our area as a whole. The number of sales was up 7%, average days on market was down 12%, and months of inventory (ratio of homes on the market to how many have sold) was down 18%, showing a decreasing supply with higher demand. It was a blessing to buyers that prices did not increase more than they did, but that is a benefit to being in the Midwest. Historically, even considering the recent recession, home prices have averaged an annual appreciation between 3 and 5% around the country, so a 4% rate is very sustainable, and slightly above long term inflation rates. Bear in mind that this entails an average amount of repairs and improvements being spent on the home every year.
There are always differing submarkets with hot/cold school districts and ZIP codes in a metro the size of St Louis. After reviewing days-on-market, average price negotiation amount, months-of-inventory and sale price increase; it appears that St Charles County was the hottest, followed closely by South County, West County, and the Central Corridor. STL City, Jefferson County and North County followed behind but showed surprising strength. Those 3 markets took longer to sell with less demand, but prices rose above average, perhaps catching up a bit to the higher priced areas. Single family homes came out ahead on all statistics over condo sales, and continue to have higher demand, especially one stories.
One of the biggest surprises to me was the 2016 list price to sale price ratio – the average amount the seller negotiates off the list price to sell and close the sale – was only 1.5%! That is the lowest I can ever recall in 27 years of home sales, quite amazing. Only 5 years ago this number was 5%, the highest amount I can recall. Note this percentage does not include any closing credits from seller to buyer, which was likely higher 5 years ago in the slow market.
Here’s to a prosperous 2017! If you are planning a move this year, please contact me to get going!